RISING ABOVE THE TIDE

Barry Sergeant|

02 November 2009 18:22

When cash is king over gold

Article tools

Print article
Send to friend

AngloGold confirms its ongoing generation of free cash flow, so elusive to so many gold diggers.

 

JOHANNESBURG - AngloGold Ashanti, one of the world's biggest gold producers, announced third quarter 2009 results showing the group moving further towards substantial free cash-flow generation, a feat that continues to prove elusive for the majority of gold miners, despite record high dollar gold bullion prices. The latest round of gold quarterly results have, however, also seen substantial net free cash flow reported by Barrick, the world's biggest gold digger by production and value, and also Newmont.

Fellow global Tier I gold producers Gold Fields and Harmony continue to battle somewhat against the tide. The two South African-based miners, particularly Harmony, have also faced higher exposure to a strong rand, and rapid increases in administered prices, not least for electricity. AngloGold Ashanti ranks as the most internationalised of the big South African gold miners.

AngloGold Ashanti is producing positive free cash flow, despite its hedge book, which was under water to the tune of $2.3bn on September 30 2009. The hedge book is a substantial remnant of decisions taken years ago, when a largely different management believed that gold bullion prices would trend neutral to down. Hedges were sold forward as "insurance" against such a possibility.

Dollar gold bullion has been generally rising since early 2001. The AngloGold Ashanti hedge book amounted to 4.3m ounces at the end of September 2009, and is anticipated to be down to 4.1m ounces by the end of the year. The group has been spending substantial cash to reduce its hedge book exposures, absorbing cash outlays of $1.3bn in 2008, with $797m spent so far this year. AngloGold Ashanti plans a continuation in this trend, "decaying" its hedge book by about 800 000 ounces a year, until it is substantially dead by the end of 2014.

Funding demands saw AngloGold Ashanti raise $1.7bn via a rights issue earlier this year, and another $287m more recently. Earlier this year the group received $900m cash from Newmont after AngloGold Ashanti sold its stake in Australia's Boddington mine to Newmont. By the end of this year, Newmont is due to pay another $240m cash in a second-tranche payment for the Boddington stake.

AngloGold Ashanti has also budgeted $337m cash for acquiring a 45% stake in the Moto gold product in the Democratic Republic of the Congo; 45% has also been purchased by Randgold Resources, a Tier II gold producer that concentrates on Africa-only mines.

AngloGold Ashanti

 

 

 

 

 

 

USD m

3Q09

3Q08

9m09

9m08

FY08

FY07

Operating cash flow

337

119

834

362

584

866

Hedge Book buybacks

-797

-1018

-797

-1112

-1113

0

Capital expenditure

-239

-337

-737

-895

-1,194

-1,015

Disposals etc

-3

2

896

29

92

-13

Net

-702

-1,234

196

-1,616

-1,631

-162

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Free cash flow

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating cash flow

337

119

834

362

584

866

Capital expenditure

-239

-337

-737

-895

-1,194

-1,015

Free cash flow

98

-218

97

-533

-610

-149

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity raised

287

1,710

301

1,722

1,722

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt repaid (raised)

789

275

-37

-107

-239

-323

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash on hand

1,108

555

1,108

555

575

477

Debt

-1,914

-1,868

-1,914

-1,868

-2,024

-1,862

Net debt

-806

-1,313

-806

-1,313

-1,449

-1,385

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends

-31

-33

-50

-58

-58

-144


AngloGold Ashanti's generally rising free cash flows, equity raisings and proceeds from Boddington have enabled it to manage down its net debt from $1.5bn at the end of 2008 to about $800m at the end of the third quarter. For AngloGold Ashanti, operational free cash flow was substantially higher during the third quarter of 2009 than the year-ago quarter in each of its four main operating regions, viz, southern Africa, continental Africa, Americas and Australia.

Seen at this level of measurement, southern Africa (where AngloGold Ashanti operates a good number of South Africa's biggest gold mines) posted the highest total number, followed by continental Africa (reflecting substantially better performances from Geita in Tanzania and Obuasi in Ghana), the Americas and Australia.

Despite recent constraints on cash flows, AngloGold Ashanti spent $55m on exploration during the September 2009 quarter, an increase of 28% over the previous quarter. Expenditure increased in Colombia, where the group has discovered one of the world's biggest gold deposits seen in a good number of years. Regional exploration in Canada and Australia, as well as the initiation of the feasibility study on the Tropicana project in Australia also demanded additional dollars. The group also signed a deal to cooperate with De Beers in the search for gold ore bodies on the ocean floor.

Global tier I gold stocks

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

Yamana

USD 11.12

-12.9%

218.6%

8.152

Goldcorp

USD 38.42

-11.5%

125.3%

28.109

Polyus

USD 52.70

-5.9%

251.3%

10.046

Harmony

ZAR 78.85

-40.6%

27.2%

4.288

Lihir

AUD 3.04

-16.5%

94.2%

6.558

AngloGold Ashanti

USD 38.57

-17.2%

188.5%

13.965

Zijin

CNY 9.22

-25.0%

145.2%

14.227

Barrick

USD 37.15

-11.8%

94.4%

36.512

Newcrest

AUD 32.12

-13.7%

75.2%

14.149

Gold Fields

ZAR 101.79

-18.6%

78.6%

9.159

Kinross

USD 18.93

-20.8%

81.7%

13.155

Newmont

USD 44.60

-10.5%

110.7%

21.426

Buenaventura

USD 35.74

-10.4%

222.3%

9.825

Freeport-McMoRan

USD 76.02

-9.8%

384.2%

32.689

[[SPDR Gold Shares ETF]]

USD 104.15

-0.5%

51.4%

37.671

Tier I averages/total

 

-16.1%

149.8%

222.259

Weighted averages

 

-14.3%

135.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Global tier II gold stocks

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

Zhongjin

CNY 57.00

-19.5%

441.0%

6.600

Iamgold

USD 13.87

-12.5%

415.6%

5.099

Simmer & Jack

ZAR 2.12

-40.6%

36.8%

0.331

High River

CAD 0.40

-17.7%

887.5%

0.239

Eldorado

USD 11.50

-8.8%

214.2%

4.602

Agnico-Eagle

USD 56.46

-23.7%

126.7%

8.812

Centerra

CAD 8.29

-5.1%

791.4%

1.811

Randgold Resources

USD 69.32

-9.9%

176.7%

6.209

Shandong Gold

CNY 66.48

-9.4%

345.7%

6.928

Petropavlovsk

GBP 11.00

-8.5%

539.5%

3.092

Hecla Mining

USD 4.33

-15.1%

337.4%

1.024

Golden Star

USD 3.29

-13.4%

722.5%

0.724

Franco-Nevada

CAD 27.48

-12.8%

106.5%

2.863

Fresnillo

GBP 7.75

-10.5%

733.3%

9.123

JSC Polymetal

USD 8.60

-9.6%

289.1%

2.709

Red Back

CAD 14.30

-2.3%

306.3%

3.068

New Gold

CAD 4.08

-14.3%

334.0%

1.471

Northgate

CAD 2.84

-16.2%

323.9%

0.767

Tier II averages/total

 

-13.9%

396.0%

65.470

Weighted averages

 

-13.4%

283.2%

 

* 12-month

 

 

 

 


Write to
Barry Sergeant: barry@moneyweb.co.za


Intraday

View more share data

COMMENTS

 SUBSCRIBE to receive radio transcripts and morning news in your inbox daily.
 
 responses to this article


Name
Subject
Comment



Similar articles

Articles with the same people

Articles with the same company

JSE TODAY
All Share
Daily indicators
Winners & Losers
All share
JSE Quickprice

Blogs

Opinion

Interest rates should stay on hold

Luke Doig says talks of interest rate hikes are ludicrous.

Opinion

Nationalisation: The public always loses

Economic information is cut off.

Community Blog

Does switching off your geyser really save electricity?

Moneyweb Community member says it is a myth.