SoapboxWill Berkshire last beyond Buffett? |
(Reuters) Berkshire Hathaway has a lot of equity: its book value is about $125 billion. And since equity is forever, it makes sense for Berkshire to have a very long time horizon when it comes to buying assets. But still:
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s Warren Buffett, who agreed to buy Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. in his biggest takeover, said the railroad's results in the next 100 years will justify a $26 billion bid that's "not a bargain."
"It's a good asset for Berkshire to own over the next century," Buffett said in an interview with Charlie Rose.
It's refreshing to see the 79-year-old Buffett taking such a long view. But the fact is that Berkshire Hathaway is not going to exist in anything like its present form in 100 years' time. It'll probably last no more than 10 years after Buffett dies before it's broken up into various component parts. And when he gives quotes like this to Charlie Rose, it seems as though he's somewhat in denial about what his legacy is really going to be.
The minute that Buffett dies, Berkshire becomes a large conglomerate, and will trade, like all conglomerates, at a discount to its sum-of-the-parts valuation. Sooner or later, Berkshire's CEO will be persuaded to monetize the difference, and the storied company will come to its natural end. That's no bad thing: it's intrinsic to the nature of capitalism, which Buffett loves. But it does mean that buying companies on a 100-year time horizon is somewhat unrealistic.
*Felix Salmon is a Reuters blogger.
COMMENTS
another comment from the peanut gallery, who are totally incapable of replicating warren's success.
its like a one legged man giving Usain Bolt tips on improving his speed over 100m
always good for a laugh though.
by jack on November 18 2009, 11:38
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reminds me of a caller to 5FM today asking Gareth why he is always criticising tax drivers. The caller went on to suggest that these guys are good to him, they take care of him and show concern about whether or not he will be able to cross the road . .more
by Gambu on November 18 2009, 14:16
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He has certainly thought of what happens when he has gone and has been quoted on that subject at length. As a shareholder in Berkshire I have no doubt it will continue after he retires and with similar success as well. If you think he is incapable . .more
by Shareholder on November 18 2009, 15:39
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Its not as if he's never made a mistake: just look at his recent history. And this would be a subjective mistake - even more likely. Cant anyone have an opinion anymore?
by louis on November 18 2009, 18:06
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Who says Buffett is ready to kick the bucket.He looks as if he's got at least 20 years left in him.
by Bruce on November 18 2009, 19:42
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no if he continues to eat burgers and drink coke
by nm on November 18 2009, 20:51
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And stop being an just another of the milions of critics shouting from the shithole peanut gallery....I'll listen.
All these self proclaimed 'EXPERTS' in consulting, management etc.......bunch of bloody W******.
by Lionel on November 19 2009, 19:11
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Well I would call it acquiring undervalued companies and see them given very good returns. That is all really. Now Buffet has been the one really picking these companies. Even with his intrinsic value methods for picking stocks you have to admit the . .more
by Chuma Mgolodelwa on November 21 2009, 23:33
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Well I would call it acquiring undervalued companies and see them given very good returns. That is all really. Now Buffet has been the one really picking these companies. Even with his intrinsic value methods for picking stocks you have to admit the . .more
by Chuma Mgolodelwa on November 21 2009, 23:40
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