Free Hand

Michael Waddacor*|

19 November 2009 23:03

Dark days ahead

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Michael Waddacor ponders SA’s low-road outlook.

This is the first of a two-part column...

JOHANNESBURG - The low road spiralling down into a dystopian nightmare is one of two extreme scenarios in store for South Africa.

This is frighteningly possible, especially if the African National Congress (ANC) gathers power exponentially with each successive general election. Given some of the scary opinions, ridiculous acts and absurd values expressed by members of the ANC and its obstreperous Yoof Leeg, one can't help drawing parallels between the ruling party's elite and their comrade north of the Limpopo in his presidential palace.

Let's not forget two crucial, but conveniently abandoned precepts Robert Mugabe espoused in 1980: "reconciliation" and "pragmatism". Nowhere else in the world today can any head of state hope to make greater mockery of these two sacrosanct principles. Despite having a few university degrees, Mugabe and his tyrannical troop believe Zimbabwe is an "emancipated democracy". The ANC continues to serenade him as a "great African liberator", which is deeply worrying because it smacks of a desire to emulate Comrade Bob.

It might not be too long before our leaders conveniently forget our intricate political negotiations of 1993 and the subsequent formation of a government of national unity a year later. Many of our elected parliamentarians cloister ambitions to rewrite our constitution and promulgate draconian laws.

When the ruling party's slow-dancing with its alliance sweethearts, the Congress of South African Trade Unions and the South African Communist Party, one senses it's capable of introducing greater censorship (including media oppression), police-state authoritarianism (meaning greater police brutality and detention without trial) and nationalisation of land, mines and businesses (meaning drastically poorer national productivity, wealth generation, innovation and job creation).

Blacklash Syndrome

The poignant sight of an inconsolable Desmond Tutu at the Truth and Reconciliation Commission hearings stirred our nation a few years ago. Because of Tutu, many of us not only plumbed a greater depth of our common humanity, but also reminded ourselves how deeply shameful and hurtful much of our history has been since 1652. The dehumanising policies of apartheid were despicable. The resulting hurt and hatred will take generations to transmute into forgiveness and acceptance.

Many humans find it difficult to forgive. In the case of the ANC and many black folk, the onerous journey towards absolution and reconciliation makes them vulnerable to the pitfalls of self-interest, resentment, blame, vindictiveness and persecution. In their case, it could swell into an unwieldy Blacklash Syndrome epitomised by dastardly deeds to disempower and marginalise white South Africans, many of whom already feel wholly disenfranchised.

Logically, the next step on the road to perdition is to continue disintegrating white economic power. Whites still bare the brunt of the tax burden, so why not tax them further. Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan recently proposed this punitive notion. While Gordhan didn't single out whites, it's axiomatic that additional taxes will mostly drain overburdened middle-class whites, many of whom could be destined to fall into the underclass.

As the ANC government's totalitarian surge gathers momentum, it'll be happy to steal additional productive farmland from hardworking farmers. Similarly, the government will seize profitable mining houses and strategic companies like Sasol, which help to secure our energy independence and sizeable inflows of export revenues. At best, it'll insist on 50:50 state-private sector partnerships, provided the regime can appoint directors and mastermind business strategies.

Rising unemployment
One illogical political intervention and one crippling statute after another, the ANC will steer South Africa progressively deeper into political and economic realms more frightening than purgatory. As unemployment approaches 60%-70% (rather than the current 25%-40%), the regime will relax education standards and allow poorly skilled teachers to run (down) our classrooms. Our already ailing state healthcare system will collapse, as will most of our education, correctional and welfare systems.

Eskom might plunder us into greater spells of darkness (assuming we can afford its stratospheric tariffs), while irreparable and abandoned Transnet locomotives will choke our vital export lines to Richards Bay, Durban and Cape Town. Many of our parastatals already are in disarray and at risk of slumping deeper into executive mismanagement and plundering.

Before long, the state coffers will slowly diminish, especially if the ruling elite can't halt the ever-expanding gravy train. Minister Trevor Manuel was smug about buying a R1.2m BMW, despite our president tasking him to reinvigorate the government's sluggish delivery programme. In a potential dystopian scenario, one can only imagine True Loverman will be more passionate about delivering a better class of ministerial wheels to his comrades. If South Africa is a bottomless pit, why didn't he extend himself by procuring something more ministerial like a Bentley or Maybach?

While Jay-Zee and his accountability-exempt Blingmeisters take chauffeur-driven rides in bulletproof cars worth more than R3m and each spend R1m a year on personal protection and a few bars on home renovations, state pensions and grants will diminish, as will poor black and white communities' hopes of having basic services, part-time employment and modest housing. If you think today's crime's petrifying, greater unemployment, poverty and resentment will make Gotham City pale into insignificance compared with our cities.

Suppressing artists

We'll see increasing poverty in our arts and on our sport fields. Not every artist is a Van Gogh or Plath, able to thrive on suicidal inclinations, so increasing individual and collective angst and depression will extinguish much of our creative spirit. For those courageous enough to muster the creative and political might, their works will be grimmer and at great risk of being destroyed by politburo thugs.

Political tyranny and economic atrophy inevitably trigger greater environmental abuse. Despite the hot air about to envelope Copenhagen, our Blingmeisters will renege on their commitments to reduce our contributions to global greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions. Like Eastern European factories and mines during the Cold War, our industries will be free to pollute our precious soil, water and atmosphere.

Hungry poachers will slaughter large amounts of wildlife. Food- and energy-deprived rural communities will cut down greater amounts of trees, which we need to process some of our carbon-dioxide emissions. Poorer rural folk will fell trees to use as firewood and earn meagre income from city folk who can't afford solar heating panels or Eskom tariffs.

In this scenario, we'll have written our own disquieting requiem, The Wasteland. Besides the politburo elite and a few conniving capitalists, who'll evade the regime's radar scans, we'll be impoverished, impotent and immobilised without foreign tourists arriving to read the "Welcome to Dystopia" signs rendered in all 11 official languages (assuming there's an equivalent of the D-word in Pedi).

For a more cheerful view, read about South Africa's high-road scenario next Friday.

*Michael Waddacor is a writer and music critic.

COMMENTS

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 responses to this article

Drivel
What a load of negative drivel. Stick to being a music critic and preferably not in SA.

by Graham Bray on November 20 2009, 06:14
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Next week's counterpoint
What you just described has happened repeatedly in almost all other "emancipated" African countries, so it is within the realm of reality.

Now NEXT WEEK's positive slant will be pure fantasy!

by Darwin's Sock on November 20 2009, 06:35
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Nice scenario.
Maybe you should have put the "next week" high road scenario plan statement at the front instead of the end for those who do not read to the end.

If all the things you mentioned became true then SA would truly be a part of the BRIC . .more

by . on November 20 2009, 06:37
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YOU GOT THAT RIGHT MICHAEL!
Zuma/ANC is simply being a true native in his own experience of the world as percieved by the African.
Why should this country be any different to the other basket cases on the continent?
To run a country well requires application and . .more

by ER on November 20 2009, 06:41
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Mediocrity
Assuming the high road is the opposite and the 'possible' road somewhere in between, not much will actually change, except that it will become abundantly clear to outsiders that South Africa has chosen mediocrity over excellence. And that's almost . .more

by Taxpayer on November 20 2009, 07:26
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The signs are there
Seeing them is a problem for blinkered souls.

Come and soak up the sun in Jhb by the sea!

by Perth on November 20 2009, 07:32
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Power and Greed
Well done uncle Bob up North. George Bush & Tony Blair plotting regime change in Zimbabwe, Iraq, Afghanistan through the likes of Simon Mann & Thatcher are exposed. So the African lion is looking worse for wear for the confrontation but he still . .more

by Graham on November 20 2009, 08:15
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South Africa appropriately named
Agreed. While SA profesesses to be democratic, it's actions are thin on the ground. Witness its support of that Mugabe idiot. If it weren't for the ANC, he would have been long gone. Where is South Africa's support of the Zimbabwean people? The . .more

by Gerald on November 20 2009, 08:43
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Agree with Graham Bray
Michael you will think yourself into a deep dark depression if you continue with this. The fact is South Africa has a way of surprising people e.g. look how Cosatu recently backed Godsell. Also look at the two 180 degree turns which Malema made . .more

by Sir August de Winter on November 20 2009, 08:48
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miss you already...
OR TAMBO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT STATION (GPS: S:26°07.976' E: 028°13.894')

by phill on November 20 2009, 09:36
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@Graham Bray
I wholeheartedly agree. Half the problem with our country is all the negative sentiment being thrown about. We are a nation of survivors, we are different to other failed African states.

by Home is where the heart is on November 20 2009, 09:38
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There are many great South Africans out there
Unfortunately they are not in the ANC. With mindless idiots running the show, the above scenario is very feasible.

Fortunately there is hope. The DA are doing incredible things and have amazing, problem solving, dynamic people who have a . .more

by Sad days on November 20 2009, 09:46
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@Graham Bray and Sir August
Graham you are displaying that irritating South African trait of playing the man not the ball. If you feel the article is drivel then come up with counterpoints rather then snide attempts at character assassination. Sir August if you feel that . .more

by Durban Dave on November 20 2009, 10:10
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Dystopia
I clack skulls with Clicky-Ba!

Excellent article...and perhaps, though hopefully not, too far from the truth. Read the low road scenario in "the Dinokeng Scenarios" for a similar type of projection

The harsh fact of the matter . .more

by The Wolf of Kabul on November 20 2009, 10:11
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This will always be home...
go have a barbie and enjoy the african weather. stay away from these computers and some self centered columnist. 1 is not equal to 10

by chillin on November 20 2009, 10:11
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I absolutely agree
that the ANC is capable of this and that this could happen if voters let it happen. The ANC today is a scary alternative to the benevolent, reconciliatory ANC of 1994. What I liked best about the ANC in 1994 is that they passed such sensible laws. . .more

by Al on November 20 2009, 10:19
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@ Home is where the heart is
So what makes us different?

by robericom on November 20 2009, 10:24
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@Al
ANC in 94 had great sound bites, Mandela done great, Mbeki was an absolute disaster and the deliberate misinterpretation of policy in the practical application of BEE/AA led to the erosion of institutions and continuation of crony capitalism that . .more

by . on November 20 2009, 10:34
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ANC / Bob
Its quite scary what some will do to hang on to power.
In Zimbobwe, Bob played his last card, i.e. take the land and" give it to the people", which of course never happened. It was the white farmers that had fed the Country and earned foreign . .more

by Taffy Dee on November 20 2009, 10:35
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Nothing to fear but fear itself...
To carry out the kind of atrocities that Mad Bob and most of his African colleagues carried out, requires a functioning and competent army and police. Our police and army are so pathetic that they will strike instead of carrying out the master's . .more

by David on November 20 2009, 10:35
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Bad hair day?
Did you have a bad hair day Michael?

There isn't a country in the world that doesn't have it's warts and blisters. The so-called leaders ( USA, UK, France, Italy, India, China....etc etc) all have their sex scandals and share of . .more

by Devil's Advocate on November 20 2009, 10:39
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Appeal from the ANC in 20 years time

One of two scenarios will happen in 20 years time.

The ANC will write a letter to white South Africans:

"Dear White South Africans,

We made a mistake. We were young and inexperienced in the ways of running a . .more

by Justin on November 20 2009, 10:44
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FOOLS PARADISE
THE CHAIRMAN HAS SUBMITTED TO THE BOARD OF CITIZENS HIS DYSTOPIAN STRATEGY.

THE CEO WILL RESPOND PRETTY SOON WITH HIS OWN VERSION STRATEGY BASED ON "EVERYTHING IS ABOUT RACE IN SOUTH AFRICA"

BLACK ALOOTA AND WHITE WHINGEING . .more

by CHENEYBUSH on November 20 2009, 10:53
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A Definite Possibility
Definitely possible scenario.
Very clearly sketched out.
My own calculations of this scenario is to arrive around 2018-2023.

Although one should look at both extremes, but assume usually that reality more often ends up in the middle . .more

by Capitalist on November 20 2009, 10:53
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Get a life !
If you are going to contribute. Contribute in a positive, problem solving way !

by Pragmatist on November 20 2009, 11:01
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Should have left a time ago

This whiner should have left way back in the 80's.Packing to Perth ...
PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE LEAVE,nobody is holding you back and take
the thousands of whiners with you.No we will not starve....

by Zoro on November 20 2009, 11:11
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New home
How about put some of our government official in Zimbabwe for a month.

A salary equal to a politician of ZIM.

Lets see what they think of the situation and if this is where they want us to be.

by Zodiac on November 20 2009, 11:31
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@ Durban Dave
Oh its OK to character assasinate Julius Malema. Strange double standards you have. I wonder how much you have done to improve the situation. Every little bit helps and every negative comment is a step backwards.This is still by far the best country . .more

by Graham Bray on November 20 2009, 12:02
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This was all unfathomable a year ago
Suddenly in the last 6 months, most of the ideas mentioned in this article have been spewed forth by our worldclass politicians who understand the concept of buying the blue collar voter.

by Brian on November 20 2009, 12:27
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THE FACTS ARE BRUTAL
How can you deny what has been written. As a white I feel marginalised every day with the lawlesness on the roads and all the corruption stories in the media. IT IS TIME TO LEAVE, there is no future for our childern in a country where we get NOTHING . .more

by Mr G on November 20 2009, 12:45
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Stay positive in the face of recession
The harbingers of doom should quieten down. The years of plenty disintegrated into the years of famine and all of the troubles surfaced. Curb the lifestyle that we used to be able to afford, what are you crazy!?! Personally, have you had to cut . .more

by M on November 20 2009, 12:50
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by Graham Bray
A 'Graham Bray ' on Linkedin (Just google Graham Blay) includes the SADF - Intelligence Corps as part of his education, and although includes Wits Hotel School as another alama mater, now appears to reside in Peterborough England. Is this the same . .more

by unemployed senior citizen on November 20 2009, 12:53
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Greenhouse gas emission? puhleeze
What the heck has greenhouse gas emissions got to do with the ANC's overall incompetence?

Anthropogenic climate change is the biggest scientific fraud since the flat earthers in the dark ages.

There is no proof that mans CO2 . .more

by Lord Max Master of iInfinity on November 20 2009, 13:01
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jackp27@webmail.co.za
i dont know which is scarier...this "potential" reality or the number of people who say easily believe it will happen!

by jackp on November 20 2009, 13:24
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@ unemployed senior citizen
Shame you are bored. Why would I say this is the best country to live and then live in the UK. Live very happily in Johannesburg and plan to stay here and try and make a difference. In retrospect I can only think that article was written 'tongue in . .more

by Graham Bray on November 20 2009, 13:34
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Do you really think an article on your personal fears even if shared by many
HAS ANY MERIT. The same is true for your high road. Please let these gather internet dust. They do not ADD anything to our reality testing and only drive more South Africans into cloud cuckoo land. In this country it is hard to keep your skeg in . .more

by Free the REst, please on November 20 2009, 13:44
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Repatriation
Michael, I have one word for you and others like you 'Repatriation'. Go back to Europe, you are free to do so. Leave us be as Africans to run our continent as we feel content to do so. Your presence in our ancestral lands exacerbates the problem . .more

by Boere Basher on November 20 2009, 13:49
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TO Boere Basher - WAKE UP
Just remeber the infrstructure, companies like Sasol, Denel, Koeburg and the likes were invented by whites and built by black poeple, so we all have made an effort to get south africa to where it is no ONE person like yourself has more rights than . .more

by Mr G on November 20 2009, 14:41
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@BOERE BASHER
Moron - this is not your continent. Go back to west Africa where your ancesters oosed from in the late 1500's. When the Dutch got to the Cape you lot were still north of the Limpopo. The only people here were the San. My ancesters were living in the . .more

by SP on November 20 2009, 14:47
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it is e buggard
...Boere Basher...with out us you will end up as your comrades north of Beit... where their lands are left muntu lated.

by Ebagum on November 20 2009, 14:47
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@boere-basher
"run the continent"- you lot are tooo funny,- you couldn't run a bath,( for that matter you wouldn't know what a bath was, judging by that 'interesting' odour peculiar to some of your comrades.
We've tolerated your childish nonsense in our . .more

by Pioneer on November 20 2009, 15:36
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@Graham Bray again
Graham to character assassinate Julius he'd have to have character for me to assassinate...

by Durban Dave on November 20 2009, 15:37
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@Pioneer
Ja jong, hulle kop nie so lekker nie,
hy moet kom... dan sal ons dans!

by Grif on November 20 2009, 15:53
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Boere Basher
My white ancestors arrived here in 1822. Show me one shred of proof that your ancestors were here before them. The only non whites here at that stage were the San people. Your people were busy running south to escape your enemies and slave traders, . .more

by MBB on November 20 2009, 15:58
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Your time is Up
Yes,The time has come,.. Are you scared? Is your face becoming more pale? We, the rightful owners and custodians of our ancestral lands, hereby lay claim to it and those who oppose us will feel full force our might. We will appropriate with force . .more

by Boere Basher on November 20 2009, 16:03
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@Boere Basher
I'll move provided you hand the place back to the Koisan and relocate back to Matabeleland.

by Punked on November 20 2009, 16:40
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Punked - You need a history lesson
Your perception and interpretation of history is clouded and distorted by your genocidal amnesia that has conveniently indoctrinated your people's mentality over the centuries. You, pale face, wiped out, raped and drove out the San nation from these . .more

by Boere Basher on November 20 2009, 18:20
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The solution
The solution is simple - don't vote for the ANC.

Fools like Boere Basher, should they get their way, will ultimately reap what they sow. Unfortunately they're unaware of what it is they wish to sow. They believe that because some things . .more

by CTheB on November 20 2009, 18:20
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@Punked
Yep, it's ironic that it's ok for some to slaughter and steal land. That's no excuse for apartheid, but the hypocrisy does make one laugh.

by CTheB on November 20 2009, 18:22
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@VTheB
I for one don't want to own or enjoy anything built by white supremacy. I don't consider the so called development of this country as gains for indigenous folk. The vast of majority of our people have no access to these developments as they linger . .more

by Boere Basher on November 20 2009, 18:42
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Pretty possitive stuff in the comments section till some one threw a stone
The as per usual, all hell brakes lose.

As an ex-Zimbo, I've seen this all before. I am a proud South African, but I worry every day about the direction this country is taken. If it ultimately is hijacked by some power crazies in the ANC, . .more

by ex Zimbo Mukiwa on November 20 2009, 19:23
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Boere Basher
You really are ignorant and you write such Cr*p. I bet you drive a fancy European/Japanese car or catch a white man's bus. Where do you take your children when they are sick? A white trained doctor or a witchdoctor to throw bones and hand out some . .more

by MBB on November 20 2009, 20:07
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....anyone got a cut thoat razor?
....Not sure I'lll still be around next week after that Michael. Is the rain getting you down? Shove Revolver on and play it loud. By the way...I love the comments telling us to go to Europe and leave the Africans to B***** the place up by . .more

by David Bullard on November 20 2009, 21:12
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pessimist
who the duck is this doomsday pessimist???
Do i have to listen to this C***?
NO!!!

by sudanstud on November 20 2009, 21:27
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@Boere Basher ... hey! you sold out to the Chinese
Who u gonna blame in a 50yrs ... you such a CLEVA you??? Everyone built this country, only the ANC leadership sold-out their own peepals dreams!!! The PDA middle-class must stop wimping out, get some b@lls & rise up against this corrupt . .more

by Lin Ga Ring on November 20 2009, 23:10
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so you have a problem with pessimism?
Funny how 'non' pessimist get so outraged when confronted with a reality check, goes to show their absolute immaturity. If you read this article, you think to yourself , 'this is possible' but how can I change it. If not, then do your best to . .more

by Rustic on November 20 2009, 23:29
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Blacks and whites do not mix what with the racist BEE policy which is simply a tax on whites
BEE is also the pursuit of the Zimbabwe graveyard. You cannot get fired because you are black. You get a jpob because you are black and vote anc. How absolutely African is this utter nonsense? agree SA is going to the black hole which is Africa and . .more

by The DA are also useless as oppostion on November 21 2009, 01:14
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brighter days ahead
people like this moron are not needed in this country, why dont you also go to Australia, the land flowing with milk and honey??? we need positive people in this country, people who see the problem and be part of a solution. being a prophet of doom . .more

by african on November 21 2009, 08:08
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brighter days ahead
Yes, Give the senior job to a black "professional" then get a white consultant to do the job. Been there, done that.

by MBB on November 21 2009, 09:25
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Africa is Africa
Again I am surprised both by the depth of despair and the naivety on the contributors. The reality is that this is Africa, it is inhabited mostly by black people who operate in a certain way and will always do so it is genetic. No amount of self . .more

by Andrew on November 21 2009, 10:32
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@ african
HALLELUJAHHHHHHHH-----BRUTHAAAA---YEAHHH ! ! ! !

by jesse jackson on November 21 2009, 13:34
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Issues
If you know what the problems are going to be then by all means, take the ultimate leap and come up with solutions. Once done, implement them.

by Nicolas K on November 21 2009, 13:57
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@ Andrew-Africa is Africa
Have to agree with pretty well everything you say,---except...your last para.
If we eliminate the hatred, frustration,anger and the desire for revenge that rightfully consumes the civilized white/European who has to watch the mindless, savage, . .more

by tired of being p.c. on November 21 2009, 19:31
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try this angle for once..
http://www.sagoodnews.co.za/

by JWise on November 22 2009, 01:08
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@Boere Basher
Your beloved leaders have you exactly where they want you. Africa continuosly smoke screens incompetence and theft with "black consciousness" and nationalism. They steal and plunder THEIR OWN and do not subject themselves to the lifestyle enjoyed by . .more

by Rogi on November 22 2009, 08:46
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The author seems confused. Blacks regard this as their country
(even though it was originally occupied by the bushmen), which is why Mugabe is a freedom fighting hero. The fight was not against apartheid discrimination (any tribe who wanted it were offered independence), but to take back the whole country.

by ST on November 22 2009, 17:51
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The ANC's careless attitude towards the suffering of Zimbabweans
is a disgrace, but it is consistent with the way they treated the SA public during the freedom struggle.

by TU on November 22 2009, 19:11
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Tax payers are treated unfairly!
Apart from paying such exhorbitant taxes taxpayers are still expected to fund education in the form of school fees - yet the elite politicians prefer putting their kids in private schools. Yeah, whats good for the tax payers aren't good enough for . .more

by Wounded on November 23 2009, 09:17
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@Boere Basher
I am a non white person (non-caucasian is the correct term), but I agree with the whites on most issues raised here. If you are so smug about telling the whites to go back to Europe where they belong, how do you feel when they arrive back there, . .more

by Moneyweb Reader on November 23 2009, 16:56
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