Mining Indaba: For SA it’s about the bottlenecks strangling growth

Lack of exploration, a dysfunctional licensing system, Eskom and lack of transport capacity.
Zambia's president gave the speech SA’s Minister of Mineral Resources and Energy Gwede Mantashe (pictured) should have given, says one commentator. Image: Dwayne Senior/Bloomberg

The Investing in African Mining Indaba got underway in Cape Town on Monday (May 9) as miners showcased their green credentials, but the persistently hot issue for SA relates to the bottlenecks strangling growth and preventing the country from fully participating in the mining boom.

The Minerals Council of South Africa said coal, iron ore and chrome companies missed out on about R35 billion last year from contracted volumes that couldn’t reach ports. Exxaro and Glencore both reported decreased sales last year, directly because of rail capacity shortfalls.

Read: Value of SA mining production breaks through R1trn mark

Without urgent attention, “the mining industry, the fiscus and the rail and port operator will again forgo any benefit from commodity prices by not exporting minerals to South Africa’s full potential,” it said.

This contributed significantly to South Africa being ranked among the 10 least attractive jurisdictions for mining investment in the Fraser Institute’s annual mining industry survey last year.

Infrastructure now a bigger impediment than regulations

Andrew Lane, energy, resources and industries leader at Deloitte Africa, said infrastructure bottlenecks, such as rail capacity, road quality, the high price of energy and the reliability of energy supply are now bigger impediments to the mining sector than regulations.

South Africa has slipped to 75 out of 84 jurisdictions in the 2021 edition of the Fraser Index. In 2020, SA ranked 60th out of 77 jurisdictions. The index measures perceptions of policy attractiveness and mineral resource attractiveness.

Read: SA falls to its lowest-ever ranking for mining investment attractiveness – Survey

“We have noted concerns raised by miners in the [Fraser] surveys and we need to work hard to improve internal factors and influence external factors that contribute to these concerning results,” said Minister of Mineral Resources and Energy Gwede Mantashe in his keynote address.

So far, there is little evidence of this. Nor is there much evidence of government achieving anything close to its stated target of attracting 5% of global exploration spending, equivalent to about $900 million.

SA, once a mining titan in global terms, currently accounts for about 1% of global exploration.

Lane highlighted some of the bottlenecks around infrastructure, such electricity supply, labour productivity, as well as streamlining of permits and licensing, “which Mantashe undertook to reduce to less than two months”.

“Similar undertakings had previously been made and while there have been improvements, there is still room for further improvement,” said Lane.

Rail network

African Rail Industry Association CEO Mesela Nhlapo said immediate implementation of the National Rail Policy (NRP), which has opened the door to private third-party freight operators on the South African rail network, would resolve most of the problems mining houses have in moving their products from pit to port.

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“Mining remains one of the key pillars of South Africa’s economy and one that should be contributing significantly to economic growth. That growth can only be boosted if mining companies throw their weight behind the National Rail Policy, which allows for independent rail operators to use the national rail infrastructure to provide additional capacity and services,” said Nhlapo.

The speech Mantashe should have given

Zambian President Hakainde Hichilema gave the speech Mantashe should have given, according to Peter Leon, partner at law firm Herbert Smith Freehills.

Hichilema told delegates that his country has zero tolerance for corruption and is open for business, with a minimum of red tape.

“He reiterated his government’s commitment to a transparent, predictable and fair investment climate with absolutely no tolerance for corruption,” said Leon.

“To this end, Zambia is currently fixing its mineral licensing system, and has placed a temporary moratorium on the issuing of licences to expedite this process. He made it clear that the time for talk by African leaders about the continent’s potential [is] over, and that the time for delivery [is] now.

“Given Zambia’s history, he also made the remarkable statement that there will be no resource nationalism in the country, but that the country will still ensure that it will support domestic economic growth and job creation. It is critical that the mining benefits the people and the country as a whole without embarking on resource nationalism, which imposes dirigiste, onerous obligations on the mining industry around ownership, procurement, and local content, which has been Zambia’s experience in the past.”

By contrast, there was no word from Mantashe on either South Africa’s progress in fixing its dysfunctional licensing system or resolving the long-standing issues around the Mining Charter, which remain mired in litigation and controversy.

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Barrick Corporation CEO Mark Bristow said governments and investors are placing pressure on miners to deliver immediate benefits, rather than taking a long-term view. On a positive note, many countries are adopting a fairer dispensation.

Green transition 

Mantashe reminded delegates that the transition to a green economy, one of the key themes of this year’s Mining Indaba, holds huge opportunities for Africa, which is a treasure house of “green metals” such as copper, cobalt, nickel, lithium and zinc. The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Zambia are among the world’s largest producers of copper and cobalt, with DRC accounting for about 70% of global cobalt output and half of the world’s reserves.

Anglo American CEO Duncan Wanblad set the tone for the Indaba, pointing to the group’s renewable energy initiatives, out of which it aims to supply 3-5 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy, equivalent to 100% of Anglo’s own energy requirements.

“That would be a good portion of the 25GW of renewable energy that the country is aiming to have implemented by the end of the decade,” said Wanblad.

There is some positive movement from the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy – with Mantashe on Monday announcing a commitment to a 60-day turnaround from his department for self-generation licences for renewable energy.

He however also acknowledged that these approvals are being held back by the slow approvals from other departments, on which final approval of licences is dependent.

Read: Anglo American to champion development of SA’s ‘hydrogen valley’

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So ja -The annual mining talk show and gripe session is now fully underway.
Next year they will again come for the Cape Town shopping trip and lament why thing that were “promised” did not happen as well as the deteriorating infrastructure and electrical supply !!
Unless the ANC is stopped and removed from power DO NOT expect any improvements !!!!

To clear the overburden or to dig a shaft or tunnel to get the ore is no problem for mining companies, that is what they do. They fail to dig through the ANC manifesto though. They have not invented a tunnel boring machine yet, that is able to provide access to minerals that are hidden underneath a copy of the Mining Charter. The endless list of socialist requirements creates an impenetrable layer.

The ANC locks the resource wealth of the nation underground, where it remains unexploited, and confines the unemployed human resources to their shacks above ground. Only a free-market capitalist dispensation is able to mix the two.

This is the kind of mine, the ANC is mostly interested in, owned by a Russian oligarch, and Chancellors House.
https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-09-ancs-manganese-gold-mine-joint-venture-with-sanctioned-russian-oligarch/

That is why mining investment is slow – ANC looking for free lunches.

Thanks for the Daily Maverick link! I’m very pleased that my South 32 stocks aren’t tainted by ANC sticky fingers.

I think a thesis on the tentacles of Batho Batho Trust, Chancellor House and Thebi Investments would open so many cans of worms that bait shops would go out of business.

The flow of funds from these entities is why Dear Cyril and his gang are holding on to power by their fingernails.

License approvals continue to be held back by the slow approvals from government departments. But that’s not all, constitutional restructuring and protracted political instability that involves frequent transfer of government officials (civil servants) in ministries, creating a leadership vacuum and lack of institutional memory will adversely affect participation in the mining boom. Other looming factors like political crisis during and after the 2024 general elections, usual protests in regards the results of the elections, episodes of civil unrest, as well as accusations of fraud and corruption will significantly impact governance, decision-making and absorption capacity of government and public institutions…adversely affecting inception of the Indaba objectives. Mantashe must ensure that mitigation plans are more efficient. Anything else would be lip service.

Sorry to sound like a stuck record, but there are only two “bottlenecks”: the ANC and BBEE. That’s it..

ooops … I forgot the trade unions.

To the ANC the Taxpayer is a simple mining process, mine him properly,and make his hard earned funds mine, simple as that!!

This real mining stuff is way over their heads, too much hard work,and anyway they cannot see the bigger picture, the capacity is too limited for that!

End of comments.

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