Bitcoin’s struggle to hold $20 000 keeps crypto market on Edge

Pattern of swings suggest investor sentiment remains highly fragile.
Image: Bloomberg

Bitcoin struggled to hold above the closely-watched $20 000 level, extending a period of marked volatility that saw huge weekend swings.

The largest cryptocurrency fell as much as 4.8% to $19 618 on Monday in Asia and was trading at $20,036 as of 12:30 p.m. in Tokyo. Ether at one point shed 7.8% but held above $1 000. Solana, Cardano and Dogecoin were in the red.

Bitcoin sank almost 15% on Saturday but then vaulted back above $20 000 with a 16% surge on Sunday. The pattern of swings suggest investor sentiment remains highly fragile as the Federal Reserve goes full-throttle to fight inflation with interest-rate hikes that drain liquidity from markets.

“Expect more pockets of forced selling of Bitcoin and Ether as the market figures out who is swimming naked,” Arthur Hayes, co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX, said on Twitter.

He said he doesn’t know if the selling is over but “for those skilled knife-catchers, there may yet be additional opportunities to buy coin from those who must whack every bid no matter the price.”

Some crypto executives argue that Bitcoin below $20 000 could lead to more liquidations of leveraged positions. The token is down about 57% since the start of the year, while others have suffered even more.

The T3 Bitcoin Volatility Index, a measure of the token’s expected 30 day-volatility, has jumped toward the highs of 2022.

Adding to the uncertainty is the intense pressure on decentralised-finance applications. Their popularity soared as a source of high yields when pandemic-era stimulus drove a record-breaking crypto boom.

But now they are taking unprecedented measures to protect themselves against cascading liquidations. Embattled crypto lending platform Celsius Network Ltd. said Monday it needs more time to stabilise its liquidity and operations after freezing deposits last week.

© 2022 Bloomberg

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