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Between hope and despair

The impact of electioneering on our widening trust deficit.

Within hours of incoming Sars Commissioner Edward Kieswetter introducing himself as a “people’s person”, his organisation announced that there would be no reprieve for late submissions by the many taxpayers affected by the revenue service’s striking workers. Although Kieswetter takes over only on May 1, the contradiction could not have escaped those beleaguered taxpayers frustrated again by poor service delivery. The strike is over and the ultimate impact on those affected probably minimal, but the memory of another let-down in service will linger.

In a similar vein was Finance Minister Tito Mboweni’s rebuke of the South African National Roads Agency (Sanral) for allowing a stay of e-toll prosecutions. The minister seems determined to paint himself as a technocrat rather than a politician – an extremely difficult task in election time. But apart from frustrating the ruling party’s electioneering, the user-pays argument is a moot one when the income also has to subsidise ‘non-users’. Then it becomes a tax – and, in the case of e-tolls, not a very efficient one. In addition, the absence of competition and the prevalence of corruption invariably leads to abuse of the user-pays system, as we have seen with Eskom.

The above are just a few of the latest anecdotal snippets that show how the social climate changes and becomes warped by electioneering. Despite its laudable goals, electioneering more often than not brings out the worst of the worst, especially in politicians. The harm comes in three categories: perceptions, polarisation and expectations. 

Perceptions

Electioneering rhetoric, hyperbole and hysteria fuel obfuscation, division and confusion – compounded significantly by fake social media postings to the extent that the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) has established a panel to monitor them. Problems are starkly highlighted and solutions disbelieved. It plunges the country into a division between optimism and pessimism; between hope and despair. Small wonder that rating agency Moody’s took the easy way out a few days ago, in simply not giving a rating at this time. It was widely expected that it would downgrade the country to a negative from stable outlook, if not to junk status.

Another example was the populist pronouncement by President Ramaphosa on nationalisation of the SA Reserve Bank. In normal times, it would have received scant attention as inconsequential, but in election times – and against the heated debate around land reform through expropriation without compensation – it had some impact on the rand, triggering some debate around how far the country will go in confiscating resources from private ownership. The electioneering process is no doubt going to further escalate capital outflows and depress business and consumer confidence. It is simply about perceptions already darkened by load shedding, commissions exposing deep and widespread corruption, civil unrest and high crime levels. 

Polarisation

South Africans are polarised as never before. Those of us who took part in the first democratic elections can remember well the mood of optimism, cohesion and hope in an election based primarily on reconciliation. Now we are polarised on many fronts – primarily on race and culture, but also on class, between generations, and on gender issues. Even within parties themselves, there are divisions and squabbling between factions.

Unlike perceptions, polarisation is extremely difficult to reverse. It lingers and festers.

What the country did not need was for the Human Rights Commission to deliver a puzzling exoneration of Julius Malema’s racist rants as “hate speech”, while still deeming them to be offensive and unacceptable. To a rational mind there should be no difference, and it shows the extremely difficult and tricky path we are going to follow in regulating what people can and cannot say. It becomes even more difficult when the regulations are vague and tailored to suit intent and context. Laws are never that flexible, and the only real answer is for society as a whole to be repulsed by such utterances and show their displeasure in the moment. Making racial insults a measured and deliberate part of electioneering is reckless, inflammatory and a threat to democracy itself.

Expectations

All around us we witness communities in protest and civil unrest. We have become known as the ‘protest capital of the world’, and market research firm Ipsos expects an increase as we approach election day. In the majority of cases, protests are fuelled not only by authorities failing to keep promises but by communities’ reactions to the politicians who made these promises in the first place. Promises create expectations, and discontent is fuelled by the gap between these expectations and the reality people experience. The bigger the gap, the greater the discontent. That adds to the trust deficit, which has become far more significant to our economic well-being than the budget and trade deficits.

Conversely, when expectations are lower than reality, it creates a sense of well-being and contentment. That utopian condition is never sustainable because reality itself will lift expectations.

The real danger lies in both expectations and reality being low. That creates a deep and profound sense of hopelessness and disillusionment.

One of the world’s greatest contemporary thought leaders, Noam Chomsky, has observed in his book Requiem for the American Dream (Seven Stories Press, 2017) that while this generation is most likely better off than those of the past, it lacks what all its predecessors had: a deep faith that the future will be better.

The only way one can rescue a society out of a state of hopelessness brought on by low expectations and a disappointing reality is to have high aspirations – that attribute that drives innovation and a willingness to make things better. That in turn demands inspirational leadership: not one that makes promises, but one that can engage the nation to aspire to greater things.

It is easy to inflame, but more difficult to inspire. The former is the mark of the politician; the latter the mark of the true leader. Without aspirations, hopelessness becomes despair, and despair stirs violence and revolution.

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Jerry, another super article.

It’s hard for me not to feel that we are in the midst of a great unraveling, both here and globally, and all the stuff we’re seeing is what happens in an unraveling.

The world is in overshoot on every meaningful metric: population, debt, governments woefully unable to meet promises to the electorates, climate change, and the ultimately self defeating path of economic growth at all costs, including human extinction.

Future generations correctly estimate a future worse than the present, and the coming wars over resources will ratchet up the politics of hatred as never before. The signs are already all around us – EFF, BLF, Trump, the list goes on.

South Africa is particularly susceptible because of old racial divides that now provide convenient scapegoats for clueless rulers who seems to have given ruling for looting ages ago.

Any hope of a new dawn after may 8, is about as realistic as the turnaround of Eskom.

All that’s come out of govt are killer economic policies and half baked plans that everyone knows will never be implemented.

Without one true leader in sight we do have a problematic future. But out of manure something could arise.

Eaeh….your second sentence…hopefully not a new strain of weeds

Very well written!
Comparable to Ayn Rand, the style and the message

This article has a heading which rings so true. Hope and despair, but also anxiety, not only for safeguarding our livelihood, but also the safety of our families.
Just about every day is a struggle to deal with the uncertainty, get service, to keep safe, to safeguard our possessions, deal with power cuts, deal with the dishonest at every turn and to trust no none.

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