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One currency is missing out on the EM rebound. You guessed it…

It’s the rand.

The rand is missing out on the emerging-market rebound.

While MSCI’s gauge for developing-nation currencies is up 0.2%, with 17 out of 24 major peers gaining against the dollar, the South African currency is poised for an eighth day of losses, the longest streak in two years.

Rand movements

Mining production data released Thursday added to the rand-specific risk-off sentiment after it showed an eighth consecutive drop in June. Investors are also fretting about higher taxes to pay for a planned national health service, and lack of progress in rescuing Eskom, the ailing state-owned electricity company.

“The amount of risk the rand is carrying at the moment, people may not be willing to carry it over the extended weekend,” said Simon Harvey, a London-based FX analyst at Monex Europe Ltd. South African markets will be closed for a national holiday on Friday.

The rand was down 0.4% to 15.11 per dollar by 12:05 pm in Johannesburg, its weakest level on a closing basis since September 2018. The rand is also the most volatile currency in the world, with the one-week implied volatility climbing a fourth day.

© 2019 Bloomberg L.P.

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That’s it. I am putting all my money in the Angolan kwanza.

The amount of risk the rand is carrying at the moment, people may not be willing to carry it over the extended weekend,” said Simon Harvey, a London-based FX analyst at Monex Europe Ltd.

Sounds like a weekend special. Now where have I heard that one before?

End of comments.

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