Rand recovers from four-month low

Traders remain cautious before a closely watched budget speech next week.
Rand gains against the greenback. Image: Bloomberg

The South African rand recovered from a four-month low on Friday as the US dollar fell on weak survey data, but traders were cautious before a closely watched budget speech next week.

At 1555 GMT the rand was around 0.9% stronger at 14.98 per dollar, after earlier falling to 15.19, a level last seen in late October.

The dollar slumped after a survey of purchasing managers showed US business activity in the manufacturing and services sectors stalled in February.

The rand had been under pressure this week because of fears over the spread of coronavirus and concerns over the country’s stretched public finances.

Finance Minister Tito Mboweni is expected to raise personal income and excise tax to try to contain the fiscal deficit at a budget review on February 26, a Reuters poll found on Friday.

Analysts at Nedbank CIB wrote in a research note that the rand could weaken to 16.00 versus the dollar by mid-year, partly due to a potential trade shock with China.

Like peers around the world, South Africa’s stock market slipped on Friday on coronavirus fears.

The Johannesburg Stock Exchange’s Top-40 index closed 0.87% lower at 51,582 points, while the All-share index fell 0.79% to 57,336 points.

On the blue-chip index, gold stocks rose as investors looked for safe havens. AngloGold Ashanti, up 6.56%, topped the index, also bolstered by a 72% rise in earnings.

But retailer Woolworths and Bidvest Group fell after both delivered bad news on Thursday. Bidvest was down 5.69% following a profit warning, while Woolworths closed 5.21% lower after reporting a drop in profits.

Chemicals company Sasol also lost over 5% as law firms preparing a class action lawsuit for investors in the firm encouraged shareholders who had made losses on their investment to join the case.

Bonds were slightly firmer, with the yield on the benchmark 2026 government issue down 2.5 basis points to 7.910%.

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You don’t have to watch the budget speech, only thing it’s gonna tell you is that everything is going up in price.Ill be on the golf course.

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