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South Africa virus resurgence may be cut by previous infection rate

Studies indicate that 30% to 40% of the population has already been infected.
Health workers register patients at a Covid-19 testing station in the Richmond suburb of Johannesburg, on February 10, 2021. Image: Bloomberg

South Africa will likely experience a weaker “third wave” of coronavirus infections because studies in January and February show that 30% to 40% of the population has already been infected, the South African Covid-19 Modelling Consortium said.

Depending on the strength of the government response to a rise in infections, the number of deaths from a third wave could range between 7 800 and 70 200, the consortium, which is linked to the National Institute of Communicable Diseases said.

That would compare with 40 000 deaths in the initial wave of infections and 88,500 in the second wave, the consortium said in a statement on Monday. The consortium uses its own estimate of deaths both in and out of hospital and that is significantly higher than the official death toll of 54 417.

© 2021 Bloomberg

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Please tell me again why I have to get the vaccine?

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