Pre-owned vehicles in South Africa are selling for more than book value currently because of stock shortages and this trend is likely to persist for at least another three months.
This was confirmed by Osman Arbee, CEO of JSE-listed motor retail group Motus on Wednesday.
Motus reportedly sells one in every five new vehicles sold in South Africa.
Arbee told Moneyweb that the shortage of pre-owned vehicles has been caused by constraints on the supply of new vehicles globally and in South Africa in the wake of the global semiconductor shortage.
However, he said these shortages have not resulted in dealerships starting to see losses due to not having vehicles to sell.
“We are still continuing to sell new vehicles that we have and are being supplied pre-owned vehicles while the workshops and parts business are doing quite nicely as well,” he said.
Arbee said pre-owned vehicles are selling at “retail plus at the moment”.
“Nothing is selling at retail minus. Nobody is talking about book values anymore. Everybody is selling at trade plus.”
“That will continue for a while until we get the supply of new vehicles back to normal, which we think could take up to another three months or so,” he added.
He said that the semiconductor shortage has also resulted in it becoming difficult to supply new vehicle customers with the specific colour or specifications of the model they want to buy.
Mikel Mabasa, chief executive of automotive business council Naamsa, also said on Wednesday that global semiconductor shortages continue to negatively affect vehicle production and consequently the international and national availability of premium models in particular.
Big dip for the industry
Arbee said the Covid-19 pandemic has deeply hurt South Africa’s motor industry businesses, with 536 612 vehicles sold pre-pandemic in 2019 and only 380 206 vehicles sold in 2020.
He said the projection is that between 430 000 and 450 000 new vehicles will be sold in SA in 2021, but Motus is projecting slightly better annual total industry sales of between 450 000 and 470 000 units during the group’s financial year to end-June 2022.
He added that Motus is hopeful this growth in sales will come from car rental companies, with Europcar and Tempest and Motus’s competitors starting to ‘upfleet’.
“We are hoping that the market can pick up about 20 000 to 25 000 cars from this [sub] sector by June next year and that will give us some growth as an industry into the 2022 financial year,” said Arbee.
Mabasa said factors that will stimulate the inevitable new vehicle demand include the positive macroeconomic outlook, rejuvenation of rental fleets, subdued consumer price inflation and interest rates remaining at historically low levels for the foreseeable future.
However, he noted that business and consumer confidence will continue to challenge the industry’s recovery over the short to medium term.
Durban Car Terminal
Jabu Mdaki, managing executive of the Durban terminals at Transnet Port Terminals, said on Wednesday that indications of a gradual automotive industry recovery are evident in the volumes being recorded at the Durban Car Terminal, which have risen by 7% above those achieved in the first quarter of the 2019/2020 financial year, a period before the advent of Covid-19.
He said the terminal is anticipating a record year in automotive, with August 2021 breaking a record by handling 54 520 fully-built units in a single month.
The previous handling record at Durban Car Terminal of 51 407 fully-built units was set in June 2021.
Mdaki noted that the terminal recorded volumes 65% higher than budget in the first quarter of the 2021/22 financial year.
He added that as the biggest car terminal in sub-Saharan Africa, the terminal handles more than 520 000 fully built units annually, of which 55% are exports, 10% trans-shipments and 35% imports.
Regarding Motus’s latest financial performance, Arbee said the group delivered strong operating results in the year to June 2021 with fantastic cash flows.
He pointed out that Motus increased its overall vehicle unit sales by 10% to 228 633 vehicles from 208 778 vehicles in the previous year, with new vehicle unit sales growing by 6% and pre-owned vehicles by 13%.
The group maintained its market share at 16%.
Arbee said every important financial figure in the year to end-June 2021 exceeded their expectations and is in excess of the group’s pre-Covid-19 number in June 2019.
Motus reported a 78% improvement in operating profit to just under R3.8 billion from R2.1 billion in 2020. It achieved an operating profit of R3.62 billion in 2019.
Revenue rose 19% to R87.2 billion from R73.4 billion – and was at R79.7 billion in 2019.
Headline earnings per share grew by 298% to 1 179 cents from 296 cents – and 1 009 cents in 2019.
Arbee said the “great trading results” led to the board approving a total dividend for the year of 415 cents per share, of which R1.60 has been paid and another R2.55 will be paid by the end of September.
Motus did not declare a dividend in 2020.
Arbee said Motus is committing to delivering stable operating and financial results to June 2022. However, he highlighted a caveat to this commitment, which is that there must not be any further stringent lockdowns and the vehicle inventory shortage must not deteriorate.
Shares in Motus rose 1.8% on Wednesday to close at R94.20.
The double-digit revenue growth at Motus was mirrored by JSE-listed transport and mobility company Super Group, which earlier this week reported a strong recovery in the performance of its South African and UK vehicle dealerships operations.
Super Group CEO Peter Mountford said its dealerships in South Africa increased revenue by 19.4% to R8.2 billion in the year to end-June.
He attributed this largely to a sharp increase in the average selling price of vehicles and an improvement of 15.7% in used vehicle sales volumes compared to a decline of 13.9% in the previous year.
The parts and services business performed above expectation despite the impact of delayed service and repair requirements, particularly in the period one year on from the first hard Covid-19 lockdown, he said
Mountford noted that the group’s South African dealership operations increased new vehicle sales by 7% in the year compared to the 20.5% decline in the prior year.
Operating profit of Super Group’s dealership business increased by over 85% to R272.3 million.
The group reported a strong rebound in its overall financial performance in the year. Revenue rose by 14.3% to R39.5 billion, from R34.6 billion. Operating profit improved by 44% to R2.27 billion from R1.57 billion.
Listen to Simon Brown’s MoneywebNOW podcast interview with Arbee (or read the transcript here):