SA’s best-performing stock sees low-cost housing boom

Calgro M3 benefits from government efforts to subsidise low-cost housing for poorer families.
Calgro M3, the best performing stock on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange over the past five years, expects revenue and earnings growth until at least 2018 as demand for lower-priced houses outpaces supply.

The developer of residential housing has a 19 billion-rand ($1.6 billion) project pipeline over the next decade, and is in talks to as much as double the size of some developments under construction, Chief Executive Officer Ben Pierre Malherbe said in an interview on Monday. The company’s annual profit has gained every year since 2011.

Calgro M3 is benefiting from South African government efforts to subsidise low-cost housing for poorer families, while demand for affordable properties is rising from families newly eligible for mortgages. The company operates in a “huge” market with little competition, Malherbe said. That means profit can currently be invested into new developments.

“I’d say for the next three years there’s no let up, we’ll keep on growing,” Malherbe said in an interview at Calgro M3’s Johannesburg headquarters.

The shares were little changed at R17.50 as of 10:28 am local time, and have gained 23% this year. The stock has advanced more than 4,900% since June 2010, the best performer on the JSE during that period, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Calgro M3 is valued at R2.2 billion.

The company prefers to own the land on which it develops, and keeps costs under control by employing its own town planners and architects, Malherbe said. Infrastructure such as roads and sewers are paid for and owned by local city authorities and the company won’t build anything that hasn’t been sold in advance, he said. Projects generally break even after about 50% completion.

Existing residential projects can be funded from cash flow, Malherbe said. Demand is probably strong enough to double the pipeline in a year if the company chose to, yet Calgro M3 is wary of “uncontrollable growth,” Malherbe said.

“The opportunities are there, the projects are there,” the executive said. “We must make sure that whatever we take on we can do.”

©2015 Bloomberg News

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There is a hammock swinging between two tall palms trees somewhere near a chalet, , off of the coast of Zanzibar, and a chanting ocean with turquoise blue water and plenty of sun and beautiful fish to boot. It was Oct of 2010, when I finally decided to take the hammer to the piggy bank, after spending months pouring over every document I could find on Calgro, and concluded, that where ‘RDP’ and ‘Masakhane’ had failed, this company was doing something needed and doing it very well. Almost in no time the stock moved from 4c to 40c. I though that’s crazy, I will buy it when it comes back. Nope it went to 70c, much against my liking, I though ‘am gonna miss the bus here’. I got of my lazy bones on the hammock, dropped off everything I was doing, ran inside, fired my laptop, placed a Skype call to my broker and got into the act. By that day, the share was 97c! My girlfriend at time was still moaning, outside: ‘don’t be a spoiler, you can’t be busy talking about stocks when we are on vacation.’ I figured that the over night train ride from Nairobi must have messed with her head. It was the best investment move of I made that year!

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