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Central banks and climate change: How they can play a role in managing the fallout

Climate change is a devilishly complex challenge that affects all aspects of our lives.
People, Planet and Prosperity was on the agenda of the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors’ meeting in February 2021. Image: G20 Italy Finance Media / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

Climate change is a devilishly complex challenge that affects all aspects of our lives. It affects weather patterns, biodiversity, access to and sustainability of water and land resources, air pollution, inequality, employment, industrial production, distribution and consumption, and migration patterns.

In other words, climate change can serve as a shorthand expression for a broad range of complicated and inter-related environmental, economic, political, cultural and social issues.

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The makers of climate change policy, therefore, need to do more than merely reduce carbon emissions. They also have to incentivise all state institutions, communities, businesses and individuals to participate in the national and international effort to address all aspects of the climate change challenge.

Central banks are important institutions and should play a crucial role in these efforts. For example, they set interest rates. This determines the prices of the goods and services people buy. This, in turn, influences the climate impacts of their consumption patterns. In addition, interest rates influence the amount of money and credit in the economy and thus how much the country and its financial sector can allocate to dealing with climate change and on what terms.

However, their authority is not unlimited. It is guided by their legal mandates. It is also constrained by the fact that they are led by skilled, but unelected, technocrats with limited public accountability.

We therefore need to pay attention to how they define their role and responsibilities when it comes to climate change.

In a recent webinar central bankers, economists and lawyers explored the role and responsibilities of central banks in addressing the challenge of climate change.

Three lessons emerged from the lively and wide-ranging discussion between the participants.

What central banks can and can’t do

Impact on the role of central banks: All the participants agreed that central banks cannot avoid dealing with climate change. An example that was cited was the impact that the increased frequency and severity of droughts and floods and other extreme weather events have on food prices and thus, inflation. Similarly, these events can damage previously productive assets, like land and buildings, sometimes making them unusable. This in turn can influence employment, the ability of debtors to meet their financial obligations and financial stability.

Roles and responsibilities: Participants also agreed that the ability of central banks to respond to climate change depends on the powers and responsibilities stipulated in the laws that create them. These laws vary across countries and so different central banks will have different powers and responsibilities. In addition, the statutory language will have been interpreted differently in different countries.

Historically, some central banks have interpreted their authority narrowly. This could mean, for example, that they will only deal with climate change when it has actually affected price stability. In this view, climate is just another factor affecting prices and so can be dealt with using “standard” central bank policy tools. Other central banks interpret their mandates, however drafted, more broadly and flexibly. Consequently, they are more open to taking climate impacts into account ex ante when they make monetary and financial stability policy decisions.

All participants acknowledged that climate change may push central banks to revisit their interpretation of their mandates. But they disagreed on the need to change these interpretations.

The carbon neutrality issue: Some participants in the roundtable noted that financial markets are not carbon neutral. In fact, they tend to bias the allocation of credit in favour of more carbon intensive companies and activities. For example, these markets tend to allocate more funding to such dirty sectors as oil and gas, cement, and steel than to renewable energy. This means that if central banks, when implementing monetary policy or adopting regulations for financial institutions, don’t actively incentivise investment in green industries, their policies and operations are not market neutral and instead will exacerbate climate change.

Other participants argued that unelected technical experts, like central bankers, should not be making decisions about how credit is allocated. This was the prerogative of the political, that is the elected, leadership. If the politicians wish to address this issue, they should do so. This could include changing central bank mandates — through the political process. For unelected officials to assume this power without it having been expressly given to them would risk undermining their ability to implement their primary mandates without political interference.

What next

These three lessons have particular resonance for African central banks. The continent faces acute climate related risks with limited capacity to manage the risks. Consequently, African central banks are likely to face intense pressure to help their countries deal with these risks.

However, the resources of African central banks are often already stretched in dealing with their current monetary and financial stability challenges. These constraints have been further exacerbated by the Covid pandemic. Balancing these competing pressures is not easy and will only become more challenging as the climate change challenge confronting African societies become more intense.

Two conclusions follow.

First, African central banks must at a minimum develop the capacity to understand and assess two things: the possible impacts of climate change on monetary and financial stability. And the impact of their own policies and operations on climate change and, therefore, the ability of their societies to deal with this challenge.

Second, central banks must have the courage to talk truth to all stakeholders. They have a role to play in educating their governments, businesses and citizens about the monetary and financial stability implications of their actual and proposed policies, activities and conduct. They also should use their international networks to educate external stakeholders on how global responses to climate change impact on their own situations.

The webinar was hosted by the Public Finance and Human Rights Project. This is a collaboration between the Centre for Human Rights, University of Pretoria, the Business and Human Rights Initiative, University of Connecticut and the Center for Human Rights and Human Law, American University Washington College of Law.The Conversation

Danny Bradlow, SARCHI Professor of International Development Law and African Economic Relations, University of Pretoria

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Contrary to popular belief, Central Banks do not own a stash of savings or reserves. The Central Bank does not sit on a pot of gold. All the assets of a Central Bank consist of someone else’s debt.

We should not confuse a Fiat monetary system with a Classical Gold Standard where the Reserve Bank creates money by issuing “cheques” backed by a store of gold in the vault.

Modern Central Banks issue money by creating “cheques” that are backed by other people’s debt, and then they expand the money supply on top of that through the fractional reserve banking system. Modern money is a “bounced cheque” that can be exchanged for another “bounced cheque”.

This extremely fragile house of cards is built upon the ability of the government to service the money they have borrowed on behalf of citizens, called government debt, T-Bills, or bonds. Government debt is a “shared resource”, to use the socialist term, that belongs to citizens. The debt is a shared liability, not a shared asset. Never mind, the socialists won’t be able to comprehend this reality anyway.

This brings us to the point. Ultimately, Reserve Bank spending is funded by citizens who involuntarily and unknowingly lend the purchasing power of their salaries and savings to the Reserve Bank. Every time the Reserve Bank creates more money, it pushes down the purchasing power of salaries and savings and actually expropriates citizens through the process called currency devaluation. There is no other way.

Therefore, Reserve Banks cannot do anything that citizens cannot do themselves. It is because citizens are unwilling to devalue their own money that the government created laws to enable an opaque and undemocratic institution to devalue money on behalf of citizens.

Now academics want this institution to mitigate climate change on behalf of citizens, while those citizens themselves are unwilling to spend their own money on the issue? What has become of our property rights, our individual freedom, and our right to defend our property?

“If the natural tendencies of mankind are so bad that it is not safe to permit people to be free, how is it that the tendencies of these organizers are always good? Do not the legislators and their appointed agents also belong to the human race? Or do they believe that they themselves are made of a finer clay than the rest of mankind?”
― Frederic Bastiat, The Law. 1850

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