SA weighs taking on Eskom’s R392bn debt, IMF says

As it seeks to restructure the cash-strapped power utility’s loan obligations, according to the International Monetary Fund. 
Image: Bloomberg

South Africa’s government is considering taking over part or all of Eskom’s R392 billion debt as it seeks to restructure the cash-strapped power utility’s loan obligations, according to the International Monetary Fund.

Eskom’s financial position is of particular concern and requires a decision on how to address its “unsustainable” debt levels, the Washington-based lender said in a statement published on its website following on-line meetings between its staff and South African officials.

The local authorities are discussing whether the state should assume part or all of the debt upfront or continue making annual transfers of funds to the company, which could be higher than budget estimates, it said.

Read: Electricity amendment bill gives Nersa more powers

While shifting Eskom’s debt onto the state’s balance sheet would make the utility financially viable and smooth its planned split into transmission, generation and distribution businesses, it would precipitate a marked deterioration in the nation’s already stretched finances.

Gross government debt amounted to R4.27 trillion at the end of last year, compared with the National Treasury’s November estimate of R4.31 trillion, or 69.9% of gross domestic product, for the current fiscal year.

Surging debt and debt-service costs, the fastest-growing expenditure line item in the budget since 2011, are already key risks to fiscal sustainability and have been compounded by the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic, years of overspending, mismanagement and graft.

Transfers to Eskom averaged about 1% of GDP in the past two fiscal years, while its government-guaranteed loan facility stands at about 6% of GDP, according to the IMF.

The National Treasury didn’t make additional provisions for Eskom in November’s medium-term budget policy statement and Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana suggested that the utility sell some of its coal-fired power stations to reduce its debt burden.

The Treasury didn’t immediately respond to an email from Bloomberg News seeking comment. The government has previously said it may take over some of the utility’s debt, but never suggested that it is considering assuming it in its entirety.

© 2022 Bloomberg

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Contingent liabilities amount to 16% of GDP. That includes only the explicit guarantees and not the implicit debt like bankrupt municipalities and SOE debt that is unsecured and not guaranteed. That takes the Debt/GDP to over 90%. With ANC policies that cause anemic economic growth, the taxpayer will find it impossible to service the debt. This leaves us with some sort of default as the only option.

Either bondholders like the GEPF takes a haircut, camouflaged as a debt-for-equity swap, or the SARB forces a haircut upon all savers, plus everybody who uses the national currency, in the form of a currency devaluation. The default is baked into the cake now. It is only the icing on the cake that is in question at this stage.

This is the price we all pay because some people vote for the ANC.

We need to stop kidding ourselves and stop adding to maths of tariffs.

Most of that Eskom debt is government guaranteed yet for some weird reason the debt carries higher rates than sovereign debt. Bankers …

Debt service forms part of the outflows Eskom is permitted to recover from tariffs. Councils are permitted to add 65% to their Eskom cost. In effect we are paying councils extra margin on rubbish debt service. That is beyond stupid.

Move the debt to government (which is the reality) and central tax pool or we will end up with the most expensive electricity in the world. I already pay more than California peak rates.

End of comments.

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