This is Ramaphosa’s report card after two years

A recap of the president’s successes and failures.
President Cyril Ramaphosa. Image: Waldo Swiegers, Bloomberg

Cyril Ramaphosa came to power two years ago pledging a new dawn of reforms, economic growth and jobs.

The South African president will deliver his fourth state-of-the-nation address on Thursday with a mixed bag of results since taking the helm. Here is a recap of his successes and failures:

Economy

   

In his first speech Ramaphosa conceded that the economy was not expanding fast enough to reduce poverty. While he didn’t set explicit growth targets, his 2017 campaign to take over the leadership of the ruling African National Congress centred on an economic recovery.

“The need for a social compact in South Africa, where all stakeholders concede to enduring some of the short-term pain has never been more urgent,” said Sanisha Packirisamy, an economist at Momentum Investments.

The president’s efforts to bolster growth and undo almost a decade of hollowing out of state institutions that happened under his predecessor Jacob Zuma are being hampered by internal battles in the ANC and powerful labour unions who are opposed to cuts in government spending and state jobs.

Jobs

South Africa’s unemployment rate increased since Ramaphosa took power. It’s at an 11-year high and could climb even further after companies including Telkom and Walmart’s local unit Massmart announced thousands of potential job cuts in the first three weeks of 2020.

Ramaphosa has made good on commitments to put youth at the centre of his agenda with the launch of the Yes4Youth initiative, which seeks to create one million job opportunities for young people, as well as a jobs summit that aimed to create 275 000 positions a year. However, the results haven’t been forthcoming.

Read: Unemployment rate unmoved

One of the labour-market successes he could count, is the introduction of a national minimum wage, although the work on that was finalised when he was still deputy president. Furthermore, the Labour Relations Act was changed to make it illegal to embark on a strike action before conducting a secret ballot of members, a step employers have long called for.

Investments

Ramaphosa launched “a major push to encourage significant new investment” with the start of an investment summit in 2018. He has since hosted two such events and his plan to raise $100 billion in five years has already reached almost 50% of its target, according to his administration. Not all of the money pledged by companies including Sappi, BMW and Ford Motor is new and some of it will come from state institutions such as the Industrial Development Coporation.

State-owned companies

While Ramaphosa kept his promise to address governance issues at state-owned companies, most notably with the appointment of Andre de Ruyter as permanent chief executive officer of Eskom, the financial crises at many of the firms continue.

Read: These numbers show how much Eskom hurt SA’s economy

Plans to split Eskom into three separate units and reorganise its R454 billion debt pile are yet to be finalised. The power utility is seen as the biggest threat to South Africa’s economy because it doesn’t generate enough cash to service its debt and is surviving on government bailouts. The growing debt burden poses a threat to state finances, with guarantees for the utility that stood at R350 billion a year ago.

A turnaround plan for loss-making South African Airways, which includes the scrapping of some routes, faces opposition from government and labour unions. The carrier was placed into a local form of bankruptcy protection in December.

Policies

The November 2018 announcement of the new Automotive Production and Development Plan that will take effect next year fulfilled some of the president’s pledges to boost investment in key manufacturing sectors. The automotive industry is the largest component of South Africa’s manufacturing sector. It accounts for 14% of the country’s exports and employs more than 100 000 skilled workers.

The same can’t be said for the Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Bill, which Ramaphosa said two years ago would be “reasonably finalised” in the first quarter of 2018. It is yet to be signed into law and the window for public comments on potential changes closed last month.

Justice

The commission of inquiry into state capture has been running since August 2018 to uncover the extent of corruption and Ramaphosa appointed Shamila Batohi as National Director of Public Prosecutions in December 2018.

However, while the president said that people found to have stolen public funds under the previous administration should be prosecuted, former State Security Minister Bongani Bongo is the only high-profile person who has been arrested.

Taxes

Ramaphosa’s effort to rebuild the South African Revenue Service continue after he dismissed Tom Moyane as head of the agency based on the recommendation of a judicial inquiry into governance at the institution. Edward Kieswetter, who took over as commissioner in April, has started a revenue-recovery project and is implementing the recommendations of the inquiry.

Listen: Sars rebuilding a ‘game of inches’

“The last 18- to 24-month period has been one where the administration has built a more solid foundation through putting good people into the right places at the South African Revenue Service, the National Prosecuting Authority,” said Jeffrey Schultz, a senior economist at BNP Paribas South Africa. “It’s time to move on some of those policy issues.”

What Bloomberg’s economist says

“So far, pronouncements on ‘progress’ have raised more questions than answers — creating more political uncertainty. Examples include the mining charter, spectrum allocation and private electricity generation. I am expecting more of the same. Stalled policy reform will continue to erode potential growth and global competitiveness — challenges in addressing the wage bill and underlying issues at state-owned enterprises’ will lead to continued deterioration of fiscal metrics.” — Boingotlo Gasealahwe, Africa economist. 

© 2020 Bloomberg L.P.

COMMENTS   11

Sort by:
  • Oldest first
  • Newest first
  • Top voted

You must be signed in to comment.

SIGN IN SIGN UP

Failure.

Will be known as a man who did not finish his term and was the cause of the ANC loosing power to a coalition of parties.

or to the reds, either way we’d be screwed. no coalition of parties would work here in SA – there is too much eye on the money instead of the economy.

does the ANC actually have any HONEST leader that can ACTUALLY get stuff done – at the rate they are currently going – the ANC will become a footnote in the history books and will be replaced by a certain red party that would be a slate wiper for SA.

You can see that he has no boardroom experience at all, a prize waffler. Cannot drive anything through, just a lot of flowery hot air. After all he was given all he has, never built anything up from the ground……

I’m expecting a second Rubicon speech.

Dear Trying – it’s our only hope. Will he be courageous enough?

Cyril would do better setting up a ponzi scheme than governing

Never heard of her…

The stagnation makes one wonder if the State Capturers have a hold of sorts on pres. CR.

The ANC party is like the dark holes of outer space, that absorbs all energy, with not even light escaping.

Please mister President – unleash the energy, to kickstart the economy again!

Well, I am not surprised he is failing. Not one of the corrupt members are locked up, he has done nothing but promised to do something, a speech you hear from all politician in the world.
The fact that major companies are leaving (AngloGold) should be a massive red flag. All SOE failed under the ANC (they called for transformation, instead of know how/ experience/ skills).
SAA – failed under the ANC
Eskom failed under the ANC
Transnet Failed under the ANC
Municipalities failed under ANC….the list goes on.
Yet, you have all the factions/ taxi gangs, “youth leaders” – although they are 40y old all campaigning for land, money, jobs, cars, toasters…..and they still don’t understand the basics. The world must be laughing at SA, after all SA’s failure is there gain.
I just wish the fighting can stop and honest people can come together and start building SA. We know it can be done.
The government should invite massive international companies to list on the JSE and don’t tax them, however just the fact that their shares will be available for trading, would mean the government can get $ from those earnings. Attract investment, don’t threaten it!!!

Ramaphosa is a fine gentleman and an utterly useless leader who did his looting, as at the end of the Soviet Union, quite legally but no less dispicable.

End of comments.

LATEST CURRENCIES  

USD / ZAR
GBP / ZAR
EUR / ZAR

Podcasts

NEWSLETTERS WEB APP SHOP PORTFOLIO TOOL TRENDING CPD HUB

Follow us:

Search Articles:Advanced Search
Click a Company: