NAV on 2020/02/25
|NAV on 2020/02/24
|52 week high on 2019/05/03
|52 week low on 2019/08/16
|Total Expense Ratio on 2019/12/31
|Total Expense Ratio (performance fee) on 2019/12/31
Old Mutual Unit Trust Managers (RF) (Pty) Ltd.
Low - Medium
South African--Multi Asset--Low Equity
Alida joined MacroSolutions in August 2007. As an equity portfolio manager she is a member of the team responsible for the domestic equity portfolios. The equity managers ensure that MacroSolutions' asset allocation and thematic views are reflected in the equity portfolios.
Prior to joining MacroSolutions, Alida was a senior portfolio manager at Metropolitan Asset Managers. Here she managed the Metropolitan Industrial Fund, Metropolitan General Equity Fund and the Small Cap Fund, as well as institutional funds. Alida was also the Head of Equity Research at Metropolitan Asset Managers for six years. She started her investment career at Allan Gray in 1994, first as a quantitative analyst and then later an equity analyst. Alida has 22 years of investment experience
Prior to joining MacroSolutions, he was the Investment Strategist for South Africa at UBS South Africa for nine years. In his last two years at UBS, he was also responsible for the emerging EMEA Equity strategy. John has 12 years of work experience in financial markets in South Africa and London. In addition, he has seven years of experience as an economist in public and private sector capacities in Namibia and South Africa.
John joined MacroSolutions in June 2014 as a portfolio manager. As a member of the MacroSolutions team, he is responsible for managing conservative funds including the Profile Capital and Stable Growth Funds and the Old Mutual Real Income and Stable Growth Funds. John’s background as an investment strategist enables him to integrate top-down and bottom up analysis into portfolio construction.
Old Mutual Stable Growth comment - Dec 19
The final quarter of 2019 was positive for risk assets, resulting in good returns for the full year. Despite slower economic activity globally and the increased intensity of the trade war between the US and China, global equities marched steadily higher. The US Federal Reserve stepped in to arrest the slowdown, cutting rates by 0.75%, and progress on a trade resolution towards the end of the year helped lift global equities nearly 24% in rand terms in 2019 with the US equity market leading the way. From a sector perspective, IT was the stand-out performer, while energy was the laggard.
Local equities caught the move higher in global equities in the fourth quarter, ending almost 7% higher for the calendar year. This was driven primarily by a strong performance from the platinum and gold sectors as precious metals moved higher. Despite the rand ending the year stronger, other rand hedge counters contributed positively with double-digit returns, while many SA-facing names were under pressure. In addition to weak economic conditions, instances of stockspecific issues arose in the form of excessive debt levels and ESG matters. The local property sector also suffered, returning a paltry 1.9% in 2019. Despite the weak economy, persistent Eskom problems and growing downgrade risks, local bonds returned over 10% in 2019.
The fund delivered a return of 6.3% in 2019. After adjusting for inflation of 3.6% this is a real return of 2.8%, which is in line with the fund’s real return target of 2-3%. Overall though, returns for the year were disappointing. The main detractors to performance were the underperformance of our local equity holdings and the underweight allocation to global equities, which had a stellar year.
On the positive side, the fund’s allocation to local government bonds contributed positively to the fund’s return. Local bonds delivered a return of 10.3% with the attractive yield on government bonds more than offsetting concerns about potential further downgrades to South Africa’s sovereign credit rating. Within local equities the broader market had a better year in 2019 than 2018, but this return was narrowly driven by the very strong performance of platinum and gold shares and the performance of Naspers, now represented by the three separate listings of Naspers, Prosus and MultiChoice. The fund benefited from exposure to the platinum shares but was underweight to Naspers and had no exposure to gold shares, which detracted from performance. In addition, a number of the fund’s holdings of mediumsized businesses such as Omnia, Kap Industrial, Nampak and MPact detracted from the fund’s performance. An exception of a local name in the portfolio that performed very well, was Raubex.
Looking forward, we expect these underperforming local companies to perform better given attractive valuations, some improvement in the domestic economy and in some cases company-specific actions to address balance sheet risks and profitability. At the broader asset allocation level, we continue to be cautiously positioned on global equity. Global and especially US equities, have performed very strongly and are vulnerable to any further slowing in the global economy. US equity market valuations in particular are stretched and would be vulnerable to any correction in profit margins. By contrast, we see many local assets as very attractively valued offering long-term investors good real return prospects. Consequently, the fund is overweight to domestic assets via local government bonds and local equities, which in our view offer good expected real returns
The fund aims to outperform inflation and provide a modest level of income while aiming not to lose money over any 18-month period. The portfolio manager actively manages asset allocation to take advantage of changing market conditions. This fund is suited to investors who want their investment to grow in real terms and deliver a moderate level of income, with controlled risk of capital loss in the short term. It is typically suited to investors close to, or in retirement. The fund invests in cash, bonds, property and shares. The fund may invest up to 40% of its portfolio in equities. The fund may also gain exposure to foreign assets up to a maximum of 30% of its portfolio (with an additional 10% for African ex-SA investments). Derivatives may be used for efficient portfolio management purposes.