Satrix Mid Cap Index Fund - Jun 19
Global equities rebounded in June as the US-China trade war ebbed and Trump backed off on some of his threats. Global growth data remained negative with further declines in PMIs. Although the 19 June Federal Open Market Committee meeting saw no rate change, it delivered a strong statement, virtually promising a rate cut at the 31 July meeting.
During the second quarter of 2019, the MSCI World Index realised a gross return of just more than 4%, outperforming the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which managed a very modest return of 0.6% over the same period. Global bond yields continued to rally with US 10-year yields down to 2.01% and trading sub-2% for the first time since late 2016. US 10-year yields are down more than 125 basis points since November 2018.
In the first half of 2019, the MSCI World Index delivered a total return of 17.4%, outperforming Emerging Markets (+10.8%). Within the MSCI World, North America was the best performing region with a return of 18.9%, followed by Europe’s 16.5% and the Pacific region’s 11.3%.
In South Africa weak economic data dominated the post-election headlines with firstquarter GDP falling 3.2% quarter-on-quarter, worse than the -1.6% Bloomberg consensus. The President’s State of the Nation Address promised little more than further Eskom bailouts and progress on spectrum auctions with few details/deadlines.
During the second quarter of 2019, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index (ALSI) posted a total return of 3.9% versus the 8% for the first three months of 2019. SA Financials was the best performer, returning 5.4%, followed by SA Industrials with a total return of 4%. SA Resources only managed a gain of 2.4% in the second quarter after the large 17.8% total return in the previous quarter. The FTE/JSE All Bond Index (ALBI) returned 3.7% after posting a similar return of 3.8% in the first quarter. Property managed to outperform bonds, posting a total return of 4.5%. Among the other important indices the FTSE/JSE Shareholder Weighted All Share Index (SWIX) (2.86%) performed in line with the FTSE/JSE Capped Shareholder Weighted All Share Index (Capped SWIX) (2.90%).
In the first half of 2019, SA Equities was the best performing asset class, with the ALSI delivering a total return of 12.2%. SA Bonds gained 7.7%, whilst SA Property was the worst performing asset class with a total return of 6%. Cash posted a total return of 3.6%.
The FTSE/JSE Mid Cap Index (J201) was one of the worst performing benchmarks in the second quarter of 2019, up 1.45% versus the FTSE/JSE Top 40 Index, which was up 4.6%. The financial and industrial sectors were the largest contributors to this poor performance with Intu Properties (ITU), Netcare (NTC), Brait SA (BAT), Massmart Holdings (MSM) and KAP International (KAP) all down between 20% and 33%. Resources bolstered the index slightly with Gold Fields (GFI) and Impala Platinum (IMP) in positive territory, up 44% and 14% respectively.
During the June FTSE/JSE index review there were no inclusions or exclusions in the index. The one-way turnover for the index review was 1.15% due to changes in shares in issue and free float factors of some of the constituents in the index.
We believe that the benchmark choice and resulting returns form the most important elements of an equity strategy. By investing in a passive vehicle, the returns to investment strategies are known. By applying a full replication strategy, the fund will mirror the composition of the chosen benchmark.